IN THE FORUMS >> VIEWS REPLIES  
  ■  Rangers acquire Ryan Strome for Ryan Spooner 240 41  
  ■  So...what do you do? 313 32  
  ■  Game 19: New York Rangers @ New York Islanders ... 1011 272  
  ■  November Predictions 226 7  
  ■  Game 17: New York Rangers @ Columbus Blue Jacke... 763 107  
  ■  New Coach: BU Terriers' David Quinn? 4301 140  
  ■  Beleskey out 2-4 weeks 311 4  
OTG POLL

What do you think of the Rangers season so far?

Quite surprised
Modestly surprised
As expected
Worse than expected
Terrible

Previous Polls
 INJURY REPORT
Mats Zuccarello 11/9
Will not play against Detroit
 
Pavel Buchnevich 11/12
Broke his thumb in game against the Blue Jackets, will likely be back around Christmas to New Year's
 
Adam McQuaid 10/26
Left game in second period and did not return
 
  MORE INJURY NEWS...
SEPTEMBER 24TH, 2014
CAPTION THIS
Read the submissions so far and see if you can come up with the best caption for today's photo

Best Of:
2014-15 ~ 2013-14
2012-13 ~ 2011-12
2010-11 ~ 2009-10

RUMOR MILL

Tuesday - October 25th

Either Josh Jooris (New York Daily News) or Dylan McIlrath are likely to find themselves on waivers when Pavel Buchnevich returns from back spasms.

The team is expected to cut the roster down to 22 players, and as such one of the two will need to be either moved or sent down.

  MORE RUMORS...

Question Of The Day

September 29th, 2017

How many rostered players were on the ice for opening night 2016-17

Answer...
  BIRTHDAYS

Oscar Asmundson - 1908
Gord Pettinger - 1911
Bill Warwick - 1924
Chris Tamer - 1970

  SEARCH BIRTHDAYS
  RANDOM RANGER

HERB DICKENSON
(1951-1953)
  Born: Jun 11 - 1931  
  Pos: LW/RW  
  GP: 48  
  G: 18  
  A: 17  
  Pts: 35  
  PIMs: 10  
 
Dan Girardi and his former NYR teammates can still help their old team

Bolts For The Cup!
Posted by Toby Ivey ≡ 1:09:45 PM - February 28, 2018

So the Rangers now have three first round picks this year, and a possible first round pick.  As it stands right now, the best pick will be their own this year, projecting to be a top 10 pick.  As of February 27th, they have the 7th worst record in the league, though some of the teams they are "chasing" have played fewer than the 63 games already completed by New York.

The Coyotes and Sabres lead the race to the worst finish with 46 and 49 points with 62 and 63 games completed respectively.  The chances of the Rangers catching either team, while mathematically possible, is rather improbable.

At 52 points from 61 games, it's also unlikely that New York will finish worse than the Senators, so more likely they're focusing the Canadiens (56 from 62 games), Oilers (58 from 62) and tonight's opponents, Vancouver, who have 55 points from 63.

They also will have to keep an eye on Chicago (62 points in 63 games), Florida (62 points in 59 games) and Detroit (62 points in 62 games).  The Hurricanse (64 in 62) and Islanders (65 in 63) also are "within reach" to some extent.

So assuming the Rangers do finish around 7th, that gives the team a 6.7%, or 1 in 15 chance of closing stealing the 1st pick, a 7% chance of 2nd which extends to 7.2% for 3rd.  If they can get all the way to 4th, then those numbers raise to 9.5%/9.5%/9.6% respectively.  You can track the odds here.

While the Rangers "control" their own destiny to some extent, the other two picks from Boston and Tampa will rely on how the other teams finish.

Here's the Pick distribution for teams making the playoffs:

  • Teams that do not win their division and are knocked out in the first round or second rounds are awarded draft picks 16-23
  • Teams that won their division but do not play in the Conference Final get 24-27
  • The losing team in the Conference Final get picks 28-29
  • The Cup losing team gets 30
  • Cup Winning team gets 31

So, with Boston and Tampa almost both certainly making the playoffs, then the best the Rangers could hope for are picks 16 and 17.  This however is very unlickly to occur, as the teams currently sit 6th and 1st overall in the standings, and Boston has some games in hand.

Additionally complicating factors, is Tampa also currently leads the Atlantic Division, though they could still be caught by both the Bruins and Maple Leafs.

In the case where the Maple Leafs won the division, and the Lightning and Bruins both failed to qualify for the Conference Finals, then the Rangers would most likely be looking at picks 21 and 22 (perhaps a little higher if either team struggles in the remains of the regular season).

This scenario however would mean the best the Rangers could do would be 31st in 2019, as the Lightning would need to win the Cup next season in order for the conditional 2nd to be converted to a 1st.

So, realistically the Rangers are probably better off if the Lightning were to win this year, meaning winning the Cup, the Division and keeping the Bruins out of the Conference Finals would be their best path this year, and failing dramatically next year - though unlikely - would result in the best pick next year.

Now you know who to cheer for - if you didn't already.  Go Lightning for the Cup, and hope that Boston tails off for the remainder of this year.  Then hope for the Lightning to struggle next year, though they will largely have the same roster as the one that's been so successful this season.



Profile of the Author:
Has been an active follower of the New York Rangers since the 1996-97 season. Began OutsideTheGarden.com in 2001, and has continued to collect data and provide analysis on the team through to the current day.

 Additional stories from Toby Ivey:


YOUR COMMENTS

 
November 17th, 2018
MADISON SQUARE GARDEN
  1 2 3 T
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
7:00pm -
Preview Game Thread
  HEADLINES
young-talent-continues-to-make-...
- The Athletic 11/7

Rangers rookie showed his worth...
- New York Post 11/7

What Rangers Lack In Skill, The...
- WFAN 11/7

Brady Skjei's finish makes up f...
- New York Newsday 10/12

Brett Howden is starting to sho...
- The Athletic 10/12

Rangers Rookie Brett Howden Tur...
- WFAN 10/12

Rangers reaction to first win p...
- New York Post 10/12

David Quinn picks up first Rang...
- New York Post 10/11

No goalie controversy here, des...
- The Athletic 10/11

How David Quinns tackling a per...
- New York Post 10/11

More news...
  NEXT GAMES
Saturday Nov 17th
7:00pm - Home

Monday Nov 19th
7:00pm - Home

Wednesday Nov 21st
7:00pm - Home

Friday Nov 23rd
1:00pm - Road

Saturday Nov 24th
2:00pm - Home

Monday Nov 26th
7:00pm - Home

Thursday Nov 29th
7:30pm - Road

Saturday Dec 1st
7:00pm - Road

Complete Schedule
  STANDINGS
  Team GP W L OT Pts  
  Lightning 19 13 5 1 27  
  Maple Leafs 19 13 6 0 26  
  Blue Jackets 19 11 6 2 24  
  Canadiens 19 10 6 3 23  
  Bruins 18 10 6 2 22  
  Islanders 18 10 6 2 22  
  Sabres 18 10 6 2 22  
  Rangers 19 9 8 2 20  
  Capitals 18 8 7 3 19  
  Hurricanes 18 8 7 3 19  
  Senators 19 8 8 3 19  
  Flyers 19 9 9 1 19  
  Red Wings 19 8 9 2 18  
  Panthers 16 7 6 3 17  
  Devils 17 8 8 1 17  
  Penguins 17 7 7 3 17  
FULL STANDINGS

About Us -  Site Map  -  Contact Us


?Copyright OutsideTheGarden.com 2001-18
This site and rolex replica uk it's content is in no way affiliated replica watches sale with, or representative rolex replica sale of the 
NHL
, NHLPA or the New York Rangers